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Showing posts with label draft. Show all posts
Showing posts with label draft. Show all posts

Monday, April 18, 2011

2011 NFL Draft Positional Rankings-QB

*These rankings indicate which players I think will be the most successful in their NFL careers, not where I think the player will be drafted.
*Worst case scenario is meant to be taken as the worst "realistic" scenario.

1.) PLAYER: Ryan Mallet
School: Arkansas
Projected Round Drafted: 2nd/3rd
Mallet may be the best thrower of the last few drafts, having an arm to rival JaMarcus Russell, great size for the position and top-notch accuracy to boot (when his footwork is right at least). However, Mallet has earned many negative labels-headcase, primadonna, lazy, entitled, Million Dollar Arm, Ten Cent Head-to name a few. While I think he is easily the most physically gifted passer available in the draft, and the type of player who could easily lead his team to be perennial contenders if his head is screwed on straight, the red flags surrounding him nearly caused me to knock him down a notch. Also, will his severe lack of athleticism (5.37 in the 40) make him too much of a sitting duck in the pocket, or can he learn the subtleties of pocket awareness like Peyton and Brady have, to offset his lack of footspeed?
BEST CASE: Puts all fears of entitlement, intelligence, and laziness to rest, becomes a gym rat and true leader for his team after his eye-opening experience of getting picked in the Third round despite his enormous skills and turns his team into a team always in the discussion for the Super Bowl. Routinely turns in seasons of 4,000 yards, 30+ TDs and enjoys a Hall of Fame career.
WORST CASE: Never becomes a student of the game, rubs everyone in the organization the wrong way right off the bat and never fixes his attitude problems. On the field, he forces too many throws, never learns to decipher the complex coverages of the NFL and becomes another line in the list of QBs with all the physical tools, but none of the mental ones. Out of the NFL in three years.
NFL Comparison: Drew Bledsoe

2.) PLAYER: Blaine Gabbert
School: Missouri
Projected Round Drafted: Top 7
Gabbert comes from a pretty unconventional offense at Missouri, but he was still able to display many traits that NFL teams covet in a Franchise QB. He has a very strong arm, good accuracy and footwork, prototypical height, build, and athleticism-standing 6'4" 234 pounds with a 4.62 second 40. He will have to become accustomed to working from under center, as he hardly took any snaps there in college, and doesn't have the proper footwork in his backpedal yet, but with his work ethic, I'm sure he'll be able to overcome that. Also, the reads he had to make at Missouri were very basic, and even with the QB-friendly scheme and lack of top-notch defenders in the Big 12 North, he put up somewhat pedestrian numbers. He is a pretty safe bet to at least be a league average QB, but I'm not sold on him becoming a player worthy of a top 10 selection.
BEST CASE: Lands in a situation where he is able to learn for a year, or at least 8-10 games so he can focus more attention on the subtleties of the position. Once he becomes the starter, he puts it all together and becomes a Matt Ryan-esque quarterback.
WORST CASE: Struggles to learn the nuances of the position and never really gets fully accustomed to life as a non-shotgun QB. Throws more INTs than TDs his first three years as a starter, never leading his team to an above .500 record, then spends the rest of his career as a backup, only getting the occasional spot start or mop-up duty.
NFL Comparison: Philip Rivers

3.) PLAYER: Jake Locker
School: Washington
Projected Round Drafted: Late 1st/Early 2nd
Locker, a four year starter at the University of Washington after redshirting his first season, led UW from an 0-12 season his sophomore year-a year in which he missed 8 games to injury- to a bowl victory during his senior season. He has plenty of experience playing in a Pro Style offense, and was coached by the same man (Steve Sarkisian) who helped turn Carson Palmer, Matt Leinart, Mark Sanchez, and John David Booty into draftable quarterbacks during his tenure as QB coach at USC. Locker has pretty good footwork most of the time, a live arm, terrific athleticism, and pretty good accuracy for the most part, but has struggled to put it all together. He's been heralded as a terrific pro prospect for some time now, but has yet to prove fully prove his skeptics wrong, as he never completed more than 58.4% of his throws. Moving up the draft boards again though after a good combine and Pro Day.
BEST CASE: With a good supporting cast, unlike what he dealt with at UW, Locker shows that he was much better than his mediocre college stats would indicate. His combination of physical tools along with the grit and toughness that he plays with consistently leads his team to the playoffs and he becomes one of the top QBs in the league.
WORST CASE: His lackluster college numbers prove to be what Locker really is, and he is never able to become a consistent starting QB, despite his tools and leadership. Instead of becoming a superstar, he starts on and off for a few years early in his career, but then goes on to just be a backup for the rest of his career.
NFL Comparison: Jake Plummer

4.) PLAYER:Christian Ponder
School: Florida State
Projected Round Drafted: Early 2nd
Ponder is an athletic QB with very good accuracy and a decently strong arm and came from a Pro Style offense-for the most part-at Florida State. He's had some problems with injuries, but provided he stays healthy, I think his combination of athleticism, accuracy, and leadership makes him the safest bet to be the top QB in this class. I don't think he'll be a Hall of Famer or anything, but he could develop into a very good game manager who will consistently lead his team to the playoffs.
BEST CASE: Becomes one of the top QBs in the league, similar to Aaron Rodgers-without as big of an arm. Consistently puts up 3500+ yards, 20+ TDs and single digit interceptions per year.
WORST CASE: Never escapes the injury bug and loses most of his arm strength. Spends his (very short)career toiling as a Chad Pennington level backup QB.
NFL Comparison:Aaron Rodgers, with less arm

5.) PLAYER: Cam Newton
School: Auburn
Projected Round Drafted: Top 3
Newton is the one of the most polarizing quarterback prospects in recent memory, trailing only Tim Tebow in strong, differing opinions on how his career will pan out. He does have all of the physical tools you could ask for-absolute cannon of an arm and athleticism that would allow him to star at any number of positions on the football field. Seriously, at 6'5" 248 pounds and a 4.59 40 and with his agility, he could have been a top 5 defensive end, tight end, or even a number 1 wideout in the league. He does have some severe deficiencies though also-footwork, lack of experience in anything resembling a Pro-Style offense, and most importantly, his lack of consistent accuracy. Still, if he can either patch up his deficiencies or goes to a team willing to buck the trend of "traditional offenses" and instead builds an offense to suite Newton-with read options, draws, speed options, etc and doesn't focus on the traditional passing game as much, he could be great.
BEST CASE: Finds himself with a "mad scientist" of a coach who goes against the grain and puts all his eggs in the Newton basket, tailoring the offense totally around Newton. Newton goes on to revolutionize the position, and posts several seasons of 3,000 passing yards and 1,000 rushing yards. Becomes the first NFL QB to join the 20/20 club (20 passing and 20 rushing TDs).
WORST CASE: Fails to 'put it all together' and is never able to fix his accuracy woes (which is a lot harder to fix than one would think, as you have to completely rework your muscle memory of how you've thrown a ball and dropped back for 20+ years, and then learn the proper way to do it, all in a few years) and spends his career as a backup/Wildcat QB.
NFL Comparison: Old-Donovan McNabb/Ben Roethlisberger/Josh Freeman

6.) PLAYER: Colin Kaepernick
School: Nevada
Projected Round Drafted: 2nd/3rd
Kaepernick, another QB from a non-traditional college offense, was a three plus year starter at Nevada (took over a few games into his Freshman year). He has a very strong arm, elite athleticism (4.53 second 40) and great height for the position, standing about 6'5"-and he has room on his frame to grow. His throwing mechanics are very poor, as he has a very long windup in his throwing motion, similar to Tim Tebow's, and a slight hitch in his throw. He also lacks perfect footwork and has never worked under center, but has shown himself to be an extremely hard worker, so hopefully he can right those wrongs eventually. He is the only member of the career 9,000 passing yard/4,00 rushing yard club in NCAA history, and just one of three 20/20 club members as well.
BEST CASE: Fixes his mechanical flaws, and becomes one of the top 10 or 15 QBs in the league, forcing defenses to stay honest because of his terrific running ability. Starts for about eight or ten years and makes it to a few Pro Bowls
WORST CASE: Never fixes his mechanical flaws, and as a result struggles mightily as a passer. Becomes a backup QB/wildcat QB and ends up eventually switching to Wide Receiver.
NFL Comparison: Tim Tebow/Dennis Dixon

7.) PLAYER: Ricky Stanzi
School: Iowa
Projected Round Drafted: 3rd-5th
Stanzi was a three year starter for the Iowa Hawkeyes, but didn't post a really good season until his senior year where he completed over 64 percent of his 345 throws for just over 3,000 yards, 25 touchdowns, and only 6 interceptions. He has a good, solid frame-standing 6'4" 223 with a pretty solid arm and pretty solid accuracy. He's not an athlete by any means, but is pretty good at maneuvering in the pocket to avoid sacks (was sacked only 19 times his senior year). Stanzi is a very good leader and an intelligent football player who has plenty of experience in a pro style system, but he doesn't always make the best decisions under pressure, which can occasionally lead to turnovers.
BEST CASE: Spends a few seasons as a backup quarterback, showing flashes of brilliance...with the occasional boneheaded throw. After two or three years, he becomes a pretty good starting quarterback who doesn't lose games for his team, but doesn't exactly push them to greatness either. Enjoys a solid 10 or 12 year career before hanging it up.
WORST CASE: His lack of a true standout skill and his inconsistent decision making mark his downfall and he eventually gets cut just a few years into his career. He bounces around the league as a number two or three QB for a couple more years before calling it quits.
NFL Comparison: Jake Delhomme

8.) PLAYER: Andy Dalton
School: TCU
Projected Round Drafted: 2nd/3rd
Four year starter at TCU, leading them through one of the most successful runs in school history. Was a very efficient QB throughout his career, completing 61.6% of his 1317 career passes and just 2.28% of his throws were picked. He doesn't really have a strong arm, but is fairly accurate and has good awareness on the field and is a terrific emotional leader.
BEST CASE: After spending a few years getting mop-up duty as a backup, he takes over a starting role and becomes a serviceable quarterback who gets more out of his skills than he really should.
WORST CASE: His leadership and moxie aren't enough to ever land him a starting job and he spends a handful of years as a gritty backup who only starts a few games in his career.
NFL Comparison: Jeff Garcia

9.) PLAYER: Tyrod Taylor
School: Virginia Tech
Projected Round Drafted: 6th/7th
Definitely more athlete than quarterback, but he is a pretty intriguing prospect because he brings a lot of positive qualities to the table. He's quick and solidly built-although he lacks the height of a prototypical QB-and has a big arm. He's not terribly accurate, doesn't anticipate receivers breaking open, and he also throws the ball from a 3/4 angle, which compounds the problem his 6'1" frame presents him when throwing in the pocket.
BEST CASE: After a few years as a WildcatQB/Backup QB, he moves into a starting role for a few years. He doesn't set the world ablaze, but is a serviceable QB for the most part.
WORST CASE: Ends up not being fast/quick enough to be an effective Wildcat QB or to switch to another position, and never develops the skills to be an NFL quarterback either.
NFL Comparison: Better passing Pat White

10.) PLAYER: Joshua Portis
School: Cal-PA
Projected Round Drafted: UDFA
Former Florida and Maryland QB. Led Cal-PA to a national title his senior year. Big, strong, and athletic (6'3" 211 4.62 second 40) with a live arm but questionable (at best) mechanics and accuracy. Some questions about his competitiveness, as he transferred twice instead of sticking out his commitments. Extremely high ceiling though because of his natural skill set.
BEST CASE: Refines his footwork and accuracy, and goes on to become one of the better dual-threat QBs of recent memory.
WORST CASE: Shows that the step up in competition was far too much and never elevates above a practice squad QB before switching positions
NFL Comparison: Josh McCown

11.) PLAYER: Adam Froman
School: Louisville
Projected Round Drafted: UDFA
JUCO transfer started his only two years at Louisville, and missed a handful of games per season. He was fairly productive when playing and displayed decent awareness with average all around skills (arm strength/accuracy/anticipation) for the position. He is an outstanding athlete (6'4" 220 4.55 second 40) and if quarterbacking doesn't work out for him, he could be in line for a position change.
BEST CASE: Puts all of the tools together and becomes a viable NFL starter for run-oriented teams. Never puts up great stats but does enough to win some games.
WORST CASE: Doesn't have the arm or accuracy to make it in the league and eventually switches to safety.
NFL Comparison: Mark Brunell/Brian Brohm

12.) PLAYER: Pat Devlin
School: Delaware
Projected Round Drafted: 6th-UDFA
The starter at Delaware after Flacco left, Devlin quietly put up a few good seasons leading the Blue Hens. He doesn't have the arm of his fellow Delaware alum, but has a much quicker release and is more accurate than Flacco was coming out of college. Really screwed himself at his Pro Day though, showing up 30 minutes late and proceeding to look well below average throwing that day.
BEST CASE: Becomes an efficient game manager who completes 62 or 63 percent of his passes in his few years starting-spends the rest of his career as one of the more coveted backups in the league.
WORST CASE: Shows in camp that he doesn't have good enough accuracy or anticipation to mask his lack of arm strength and never makes it above a backup/#3 role.
NFL Comparison: Poor man's Matt Schaub

13.) PLAYER: T.J Yates
School: North Carolina
Projected Round Drafted: 5th-7th
Yates is a pretty average quarterback all the way around--average arm strength, accuracy, awareness, anticipation. He does have somewhat sound footwork and pretty good mechanics and has really improved his decision making over his four years as the starting UNC quarterback. He doesn't have much room to grow, but he could turn out to be a decent quarterback in the league who sticks around for about 10 years.
BEST CASE: Gets the occasional start, whether it is due to injury of the starter, or if he is keeping the seat warm til a more talented rookie in a few years. Goes the Billy Volek route after that and is in the league well into his thirties as a solid backup.
WORST CASE: His lack of an above-average trait kills his chances of making a roster in training camp and he ends up in the CFL.
NFL Comparison: Matt Cassel

14.) PLAYER: Greg McElroy
School: Alabama
Projected Round Drafted: 6th/7th
Very savvy and efficient with the football, a strong leader, and a student of the game, however, his physical skill set will severely limit him at the next level. He has a well below-average arm and only mediocre accuracy. Should be a coaches favorite though for the work he will put in on and off the field.
BEST CASE: Spends about a dozen years as the backup for the same team. Stays around so long because he acts as another coach to all of the players around him.
WORST CASE: Can't overcome his severe lack of NFL passing skills and flounders in the preseason, leading to him becoming the #3 QB and never escaping that role.
NFL Comparison: Trent Edwards

15.) PLAYER: Scott Tolzein
School: Wisconsin
Projected Round Drafted: 6th-UDFA
Even though he is only a two year starter, Tolzein has a maturity in the pocket that is well beyond his experience level. He is one of the better QBs in recent memory at looking off defenders to open a man up and has the accuracy to put the ball exactly where it needs to go. However, he is another player that simply suffers from not being physically gifted enough, as he is severely lacking in the arm strength and athleticism departments.
BEST CASE: Musters up a little more arm strength upon reaching the NFL and getting with their strength coaches and develops into a very nice backup with starter capability.
WORST CASE: His accuracy isn't enough to overcome his physical limitations and he is cut in camp only to bounce around a few practice squads over the next few years.
NFL Comparison: Marc Bulger

16.) PLAYER: Mitch Mustain
School: USC
Projected Round Drafted: 7th-UDFA
Mustain is a decent athlete for the position, with an above-average arm and pretty good accuracy. He is extremely raw though because he was a backup pretty much his entire career. That being said, he does have the skill set to eventually make a name for himself if he can develop his in-game resume and stay out of trouble (arrested, but not charged with, selling prescription drugs over the internet).
NFL Comparison: Matt Flynn

17.) PLAYER: Trevor Vittatoe
School: UTEP
Projected Round Drafted: UDFA
For what its worth, Vittatoe's UTEP coach Mark Price, who also coached Drew Bledsoe, said Trevor was the best passer he has ever coached. Vittatoe has a pretty strong srm and pretty good accuracy as well. Little to no experience in a Pro Style attack. Lacks top shelf awareness, but is a gritty competitor. Probably won't ever be more than a backup, and possibly could convert to either safety or wide receiver due to with his surprising athleticism.
NFL Comparison: J.P Losman

18.) PLAYER: Jerrod Johnson
School: Texas A&M
Projected Round Drafted: UDFA
Could have possibly been a 2nd to 4th round prospect had he not needed offseason surgery after the 2009-10 season. If his shoulder ever gets healthy and back to where it was before, he will have a rocket arm with surprisingly good accuracy. If his shoulder doesn't improve, he has the athleticism and size to possibly move to another position.
NFL Comparison: JaMarcus Russell/Daunte Culpepper

19.) PLAYER: Nathan Enderle
School: Idaho
Projected Round Drafted: 7th-UDFA
Enderle is a well built quarterback (6'5" 240) with a solid arm, but that's about it. He isn't a good decision maker, has questionable accuracy, and despite starting for four years, does not command a team like you would expect. Probably won't have a very long or successful career.
NFL Comparison: Poor man's Kerry Collins

20.) PLAYER: Adam Weber
School: Minnesota
Projected Round Drafted: UDFA
I'm not sure why, but I've heard from a few people that Adam Weber is an intriguing prospect who could surprise in the NFL. He doesn't have a strong arm, accuracy, prototypical height, athleticism, or anything that makes me think he'll be successful at all, but the interest others have in him made me put him just above the worst of this class.
NFL Comparison: Less athletic Bruce Gradkowski

21.) PLAYER: Austin Arnaud
School: Iowa State
Projected Round Drafted: UDFA
Intriguing prospect if he can come back from a devastating knee injury. Possesses solid enough athleticism to possibly switch positions and a strong enough arm to maybe get a few looks at QB in the preseason.
NFL Comparison: Seneca Wallace

22.) PLAYER: Ben Chappell
School: Indiana
Projected Round Drafted: UDFA
Another Big 10 QB who, for whatever reason, has piqued the interest of a few draft junkies. He did put up solid numbers last season (3,295 yards, 24 TDs, 9 INTs), but none of his skills really translate to a decent NFL QB.
NFL Comparison: Colt Brennan

23.) PLAYER: Justin Roper
School: Montana
Projected Round Drafted: UDFA
Roper, an Oregon transfer, boasts terrific size, solid accuracy and pretty good pocket athleticism. He won't be a world beater, but has enough upside to warrant a few looks as an UDFA.
NFL Comparison: Erik Ainge (minus drugs)

24.) PLAYER: Taylor Potts
School: Texas Tech
Projected Round Drafted: UDFA
The first Tech QB that has legit NFL arm strength, but unfortunately, that's about where the positives end. He lacks accuracy, footwork, anticipation, and athleticism and will probably end up with the same fate as all the other recent Texas Tech QBs
NFL Comparison: Hunter Cantwell

25.) PLAYER: Ryan Colburn
School: Fresno State
Projected Round Drafted: UDFA
Colburn lacks the all-around skills to ever be a starting QB in the NFL, but has enough arm strength and moxie to maybe make a roster or two.
NFL Comparison: David Greene

Thursday, April 29, 2010

Pick by Pick Analysis and Grades-Round 4

Round 1 Round 2 Round 3 Round 4 Round 5 Round 6 Round 7

4/99: STL-Mardy Gilyard-WR-Cincinnati: Gilyard is a very talented receiver who has the ability to stretch the defense for Sam Bradford. The Rams needed to get additional weapons for their new franchise QB, and they succeed in doing so here.
GRADE: A-

4/100: MIN-Everson Griffen-DE-USC: Outstanding value pick by the Vikings here. Griffen is one of the most talented players in the entire draft, and was clearly the best overall prospect left. The Vikings grab a player with the 100th pick that was projected by some to go as high as 16th overall to the Titans. The Vikings didn't really need a DE at this juncture, but Griffen was too talented to pass up here, and the Vikings don't really have many needs, and could have gotten a major steal.
GRADE: A+

4/101: TB-Mike Williams-WR-SYR: Interesting pick. Williams is a first or second round prospect in terms of talent alone, but he quit on his team mid-season last year. Hopefully with a paycheck involved, and no school to be "burdened" by, Williams will be able to actually give a crap about his team. If he pans out, the Bucs could be set at WR for the next 10 years.
GRADE: B

4/102: HOU-Darryl Sharpton-ILB-Miami: Sharpton is a decent player, but he doesn't fill a need. I would have gone with a WR or safety at this juncture.
GRADE: B-

4/103: WAS-Perry Riley-OLB-LSU: If the 'Skins were still running a 4-3, this pick would have graded out about 2 letters higher, but Riley is a very poor fit for the 3-4. If the Redskins were looking for a pass rusher, they could have picked Thaddeus Gibson or Eric Norwood, or could have selected Phillip Dillard as an inside linebacker.
GRADE: D+

4/104: TEN-Alterraun Verner-CB-UCLA: Verner is a decent corner who really fills a need for the Titans. Solid pick.
GRADE: B

4/105: Travis Lindley-CB-Kentucky: The Eagles really needed a corner after trading Sheldon Brown, but Lindley's stock has plummeted this season after terrible play, and poor draft season performances.
GRADE: C+

4/106: OAK-Bruce Campbell-OT-Maryland: Great, great pick. Many had the Raiders selecting this workout warrior in the first round, but smartly (can't believe I typed that non-jokingly) they waited until a round or two after Campbell should have gone. He's very raw, but has shown enormous promise and potential. Could be their LT of the next decade after sitting for a year or two to work on technique.
GRADE: A+

4/107: BUF-Marcus Easley-WR-UCONN: A project, but has good size, speed, and decent hands. May take a while to develop into a solid WR, but its not like the Bills are going to be good for a few years anyway.
GRADE: B

4/108: OAK-Jacoby Ford-WR-Clemson: Another solid pick by Oakland. Ford fits the Raider wishlist of an athletic freak (4.27 40), but presents very good value here. Will eventually help at receiver, but will contribute greatly in the return game-both punt and kick-immediately.
GRADE: B+

4/109: CHI-Coorey Wooten-DE-NW: Was dominant before his knee surgery after his junior year (16.5 TFL, 10 sacks), and struggled a bit his senior year, in comparison. Still, he is great against the run, and being another year removed from knee surgery should help him regain his pass-rushing form.
GRADE: B+

4/110: SD-Darrell Stuckey-S-Kansas: Stuckey is a very good value here, and could push the incumbents in front of him. Special teams ace this year, starter the next.
GRADE: A-

4/111: SEA-Walter Thurmond-CB-ORE: Thurmond will help provide quality depth for the Seahawks struggling secondary, but he is extremely injury prone.
GRADE: B-

4/112: NYJ-Joe McKnight-RB-USC: Was supposed to be the "Next Reggie Bush" at USC, but never amounted to anything close to that type of production. If McKnight came from another school, I doubt he would have even be drafted. All-hype player, but he fills a need as a speed back.
GRADE: C+

4/113: NE-Aaron Hernandez-TE-Florida: The Patriots had made it a goal this offseason to surround Tom Brady with more weapons, and they continue to accomplish that goal here. I know they took Gronkowski earlier, but Hernandez is a very different type of TE. They will be able to use him in a number of ways, including H-back, traditional TE, slot receiver, out wide, fullback, and elsewhere.
GRADE: A

4/114: BAL-Dennis Pitta-TE-BYU: The Ravens' second TE pick makes less sense to me than the Patriots does, because I'm not sure either Pitta or Ed Dickson is as versatile as Aaron Hernandez, and therefore it will be harder to get both on the field to help as much as possible. Still, Pitta presented good value here, and provides insurance in case Dickson busts.
GRADE: B-

4/115: NYG-Phillip Dillard-ILB-NEB: More athletic than you would expect when watching him on film. Has a good nose for the football, and a typical Nebraska player's motor (excellent). Solid pick.
GRADE: B

4/116: PIT-Thaddeus Gibson-OLB-Ohio St: Good value, and a potentially solid pick as a 3-4 rush LB. Still, 2 rush LBs before a single corner is questionable in my opinion.
GRADE: B

4/117: ATL-Joseph Hawley-OG/C-UNLV: Fills a need at center, but there were better center prospects on the board.
GRADE: C+

4/118: HOU-Garrett Graham-TE-WISC: The Texans have had success with another receiving TE from Wisconsin, so they dip into that pool again. I think Graham could be a very productive TE who they can move around the field, but Owen Daniels already is that, and so is their 5th round pick from last year, James Casey.
GRADE: B

4/119: MIA-AJ Edds-ILB-Iowa: A tough and gritty player who played outside in college, but will have to kick inside for the Dolphins 3-4. Could be solid, but I see Edds as a much better 4-3 strongside LB than at any LB spot in a 3-4.
GRADE: C+

4/120: CIN-Geno Atkins-DT-Georgia: A physically gifted player (4.75 40 at 293 pounds, 34 BP reps) but definitely underachieved in college, and started only 3 games his senior year. Still, he showed what he is capable of at the Senior Bowl, making 1st round guard Mike Iupati look silly all week. Serious concerns about his effort and work ethic though.
GRADE: B+

4/121: PHI-Keenan Clayton-OLB-OU: An undersized (229 pounds) but speedy (4.57 40) converted safety, Clayton fills a need, but is questionable value here.
GRADE: C

4/122: PHI-Mike Kafka-QB-NW: The Eagles needed a developmental QB in case Kevin Kolb falters, and they get a solid one here. Kafka has really good intangibles, coupled with a solid arm and accuracy.
GRADE: B+

4/123: NO-Al Woods-DT-LSU: Was thought to be the heir to Glenn Dorsey at LSU, but never quite played up to his potential. Still, he is a very intriguing pick for the Saints, and could potentially form a dominant DT duo with Sedrick Ellis.
GRADE: A-

4/124: CAR-Eric Norwood-LB/DE-S. Carolina: Probably a bit undersized to play DE in the NFL, and is probably a better fit in the 3-4, but Norwood was far too good of a value to pass up here. GRADE:A-

4/125: PHI-Clay Harbor-TE/FB-Missouri State: Could be a key cog to the Eagles offense next year. Is skilled enough to be used in multiple different positions right away. What keeps him out of the "A" grade range is the fact that the Eagles still haven't addressed the O-line.
GRADE: B+

4/126: DAL-Akwasi Owusa-Ansah-CB/S-IUP: Owusa-Ansah stock had been rising all draft season, until a knee injury set him back some. Provided very good tape (albeit at IUP) and showed his top-notch athleticism. The Cowboys won't really need him in the secondary until next year, but "AOA" should be able to contribute immediately in both punt and kick returning.
GRADE: A

4/127: SEA-EJ Wilson-DE-UNC: More of a run-stuffer than pass-rusher. Fills a need, but was considered a 6th or 7th round prospect.
GRADE: C

4/128: DET-Jason Fox-OT-Miami: Terrific pick. Fox was a 4 year starter at Miami who could have been a 1st round pick had it not been for an irregular heartbeat and knee injury this year. If he stays healthy, and the irregular heartbeat was a one-time thing, Detroit could have stolen a franchise LT here.
GRADE: A

4/129: IND-Jacques McClendon-OG-TENN: I never want to doubt Bill Polian, who has made so many picks that seemed questionable during the draft, but pan out and become great players, but I have a hard time seeing a positive with this pick. McClendon was a borderline draftable player by most teams, and could struggle to catch on with the Colts.
GRADE: C

4/130: O'Brien Schofield-OLB-Wisconsin: Had he not torn his ACL at the Senior Bowl, he probably would have gone in the first 2 or 3 rounds. The Cardinals won't need this undersized pass-rushing demon (12 sacks last year in the Big Ten at 237 pounds) until 2011 anyway, which should give him more than enough time to recover, and hopefully bulk up.
GRADE: B+

4/131: CIN-Roddrick Muckelroy-LB-Texas: Never got much publicity during his Longhorn tenure playing along with so many other talented defenders during his career. Muckelroy can be utilized at all of the LB positions (even rush LB occasionally) even though his versatility wasn't on display often in college. Great depth/ST pick at the very least.
GRADE: B

Wednesday, April 28, 2010

Pick by Pick Analysis and Grades- Round 3

Round 1 Round 2 Round 3 Round 4 Round 5 Round 6 Round 7

3/65: STL-Jerome Murphy-DB-USF: Murphy was a good producer in college, and fills a smaller need. Still, I think the Rams should have grabbed a skill position player like Brandon LaFell, Jimmy Graham, or Eric Decker.
GRADE: C+

3/66: DET-Amari Spivey-CB-Iowa: Fills a need, and has potential to be an above average corner.
GRADE: B

3/67: TB-Myron Lewis-S/CB-Vandy: Could be a good fit as a corner in the Tampa 2 scheme, and he fits a need. Still, the Bucs probably reached by about a round.
GRADE: B

3/68: KC-Jon Asamoah-OG-Illinois: Not a huge fan of Asamoah, and if the Chiefs would have selected Russell Okung in the first round, they could have just kicked Brandon Albert (a far superior guard prospect) then this pick wouldn't have to be made.
GRADE: C+

3/69: OAK- Jared Veldheer-OT-Hillside: A very typical Raider pick. Veldheer is a very athletic and massive tackle prospect (6'8" 312 pounds) and could potentially be a very solid right tackle. However, freakishly athletic small school prospects aren't exactly sure things.
GRADE: C

3/70: BAL-Ed Dickson-TE-Oregon: A very good receiver out of the tight end position, as the Ravens continue to give Joe Flacco weapons galore to work with.
GRADE: B+

3/71: GB-Morgan Burnett-S-GT: The Packers needed some insurance and a possible successor for the oft-injured Atari Bigbi. Burnett is also a good value at this point in the draft.
GRADE: B+

3/72: BUF-Alex Carrington-DE-Ark. St: A talented prospect who should be able play early on, as the Bills lack any real pieces for the 3-4 defense. Lacks a very consistent motor though.
GRADE: B+

3/73: MIA-John Jerry-OG-Ole Miss: A massive offensive line prospect with decent athleticism. Provides depth, and has the potential to be a starter in a year or two.
GRADE: B

3/74: JAX-D'Anthony Smith-DT-LT: Defensive tackle wasn't even that big of a need for the Jags, yet they go and spend their first two picks on them. The Jags missed the playoffs last year, so they obviously have multiple needs, like an edge pass rusher, center, safety, corner, etc.
GRADE: F

3/75: CHI-Major Wright-S-Florida: The Bears have had a hole at the free safety position for years, so this pick definitely makes sense. Additionally, Wright was viewed as high as a 2nd round prospect by many, including me. Need+value=great pick.
GRADE: A-

3/76: NYG-Chad Jones-S-LSU: A big, physical safety who could provide insurance if Kenny Philips never returns to his old self after his injury.
GRADE: B

3/77: TEN-Damien Williams-WR-USC: Great pick by the Titans. Williams precise route running and great hands will help him be a solid #2 to Kenny Britt in the Titans offense. Vince Young is finally about to have a solid receiving core around him.
GRADE: A

3/78: CAR-Brandon LaFell-WR-LSU: LaFell was thought to be the 1st or 2nd best receiver in the draft before he ran poorly (4.59) at the combine. Still, LaFell is a very effective run-after-the-catch receiver, and could be a steal here.
GRADE: A-

3/79: SD-Donald Butler-ILB-WASH: I like Butler more as a 4-3 inside linebacker than a 3-4 one. Regardless though, he is a good value at this point.
GRADE: B

3/80: DEN-JD Walton-C-Baylor: Really good pick by the Broncos who also fills a need. Could possibly start this year, and is almost a lock to start in 2011.
GRADE: B+

3/81: HOU-Earl Mitchell-DT-Arizona: Had a very impressive combine, running a 4.70 at 294 pounds. He could end up being a solid interior pass rusher, but I have my doubts.
GRADE: C-

3/82: PIT-Emmanuel Sanders-WR-SMU: Emmanuel Sanders is a very quick and talented receiver who, like another former June Jones WR Davone Bess, should be a very productive slot receiver at the very least.
GRADE: B

3/83: ATL-Corey Peters-DT-Kentucky: Could be a good pass rushing DT, but the Falcons already have Jordan Babineaux and Peria Jerry, who are also pass rushing DTs. Questionable pick.
GRADE: C+

3/84: CIN-Jordan Shipley-WR-Texas: The Bengals have three or four other talented receivers on their team, but all of them are better suited to play out wide. Shipley is an ideal fit for a team that really needed a good slot receiver.
GRADE: B+

3/85: CLE-Colt McCoy-QB-Texas: Some people may think that Colt McCoy won't be successful at the next level, but I am not one of them. Colt has a stronger than advertised arm, is deadly accurate, has top-notch makeup, leadership, and intangibles, and is a very hard worker. I don't put all my stock in intangibles (like many Tebow lovers do), and know that it takes more than just leadership to win in the NFL. What makes me think he will be successful is that you can build an offense around an extremely accurate QB who may lack arm strength, which is basically what the Browns are going to be running anyway (West Coast). You can't do that with a guy that has a cannon but no accuracy (Raiders-JaMarcus Russell).
GRADE: A

3/86: PHI-Daneil Te'o-Nesheim-DE-WASH: Te'o-Nesheim had a very productive college career, but the Eagles already have a good number of DE's, and drafted another one in the first round. They should have used this pick to address their offensive line.
GRADE: C-

3/87: DEN-Eric Decker-WR-MINN: Decker had a very productive college career, and if it weren't for his season ending foot injury, he probably would have been a mid-second round pick. With the losses of both Brandon Marshall and Tony Scheffler this offseason, Denver needed some players to throw the ball to.
GRADE: B+

3/88: ARI-Andre Roberts-WR-The Citadel: Roberts is an extremely talented small school player who dominated during the Senior Bowl week. He runs very precise routes, has good hands, and is fairly athletic. He may have trouble moving up the depth chart though, as the Cardinals have 3 very talented receivers in front of him. (Fitzgerald, Breaston, and Doucet)
GRADE: B+

3/89: CAR-Armanti Edwards-QB/WR-App. St: Armanti Edwards is an intriguing prospect, but he could have been had much later. Additionally, the Panthers already selected a WR and a QB, and have plenty of athletes to run the wildcat if they decide to install that package more often. They traded a future 2nd to make this very questionable pick, which only makes this worse.
GRADE: F

3/90: NE-Taylor Price-WR-Ohio: An Ohio player picked before an Ohio State player. Taylor Price is a very good athlete who will need a year or two to refine the rest of his game. Still, a decent upside pick.
GRADE:C+

3/91: SF-Navarro Bowman-LB-Penn State: I'm not sure if the 49ers will try to convert him into a rush LB or an inside one for their 3-4 defense, as he is not really a solid fit for either position. Bowman is a very talented player though, and at this point was probably just too good to pass up.
GRADE: B

3/92: CLE-Shawn Lauvao-OT/OG-ASU: I'm not really a fan of this pick. Lauvao could have been selected at least a round later on in the draft, and isn't really all that talented of a player. Still, the Browns need some help and depth on the interior of their line so the pick isn't a complete waste.
GRADE: C

3/93: KC: Tony Moeaki-TE-Iowa: Moeaki is a very talented receiver at the TE position, but has a laundry list of injuries in his career. I have my doubts about him ever reaching his full potential, as he will likely be on the sidelines the majority of his career.
GRADE: D+

3/94: IND-Kevin Thomas-CB-USC: A talented corner who seemed to be overlooked during his tenure at USC despite his consistently solid play. Provides much needed depth at corner for the Colts.
GRADE: B

3/95: NO-Jimmy Graham-TE-Miami: Graham is my absolute biggest sleeper in this draft class, no questions asked. I honestly think he will be a top 3 TE in the league in a handful of years. He is a dynamic athlete with great ball skills, excellent natural hands, and is already a solid route runner, despite only playing football for 13 games in college. After a few years of developing, he could be the #1 target in the Saints already prolific offense.
GRADE: A+

3/96: CIN-Brandon Ghee-CB-WAKE: Brandon Ghee is a very athletic corner who has developed some excellent coverage and ball skills over the years. After a dominant Senior Bowl and very good combine, I thought he would have been selected about 35 picks earlier. The Bengals get another talented corner to go along with Leon Hall and Jonathan Joseph, giving them one of the best corner trios in football.
GRADE: B+

3/97: TEN: Rennie Curan-LB-Georgia: Curran had back to back 100+ tackle seasons and is a pretty good fit for the Titans defense. Still, he is a bit small (5'11" 235 pounds) so he may have trouble shedding blocks at the next level. At the absolute least, he should be a terror on special teams.
GRADE: B

3/98: ATL-Mike Johnson-OG-Alabama: Guard isn't the most pressing need for the Falcons, and they probably could have used a pass rusher like Everson Griffen at this juncture instead. Still, Johnson is very talented and could push for playing time early in his career.
GRADE: B

Stay tuned for Round 4's analysis tomorrow.

Tuesday, April 27, 2010

Pick by Pick Analysis and Grades-Round 2

Round 1 Round 2 Round 3 Round 4 Round 5 Round 6 Round 7


Round 2/Pick 33: STL-Roger Saffold-OT-Indiana: Incredibly smart pick by the Rams. You just made a 50 million dollar investment in Sam Bradford, so why not give him an exceptional O-lineman for protection? Some wanted a WR like Golden Tate or Arrelious Benn here, but the Rams were smart in building up their line first.
GRADE: B+

2/34: MIN: Chris Cook-CB/S-Virginia: I like Chris Cook as a corner prospect, but I don't think he will be anything exceptionally special. Solid pick by the Vikings that fills a definite need.
GRADE: B

2/35: TB: Brian Price-DT-UCLA: In terms of value, this is a good pick, as Price could have gone as high as 20th overall according to some. However, the Bucs already have two very good DTs in Gerald McCoy, who they selected in the first round, and Roy Miller, a second year player. If the Bucs were a solid playoff level team, this pick would be acceptable. They are not however, and therefore need to focus on their needs more.
GRADE: D

2/36: KC-Dexter McCluster-RB/WR-Ole Miss: The Chiefs select a lightning quick RB with very good hands and is a capable return man here. That would have been fine, if they hadn't selected the same exact thing 2 years ago in Jamaal Charles (who is everything McCluster is, only 15 pounds heavier). Terrible pick. If you're the Chiefs, you can't afford to take a luxury pick like McCluster in the 2nd round. You need players who can start for you, not backups.
GRADE: D

2/37: PHI-Nate Allen-S-USF: Some had a late first round grade on Allen, although I had him in the early 40s. Regardless, the Eagles filled a big need at safety with this selection.
GRADE: B+

2/38: CLE-TJ Ward-S-Oregon: I'm not sure if the Browns just panicked because they wanted to take Nate Allen, so they spazzed out and grabbed the next safety they saw on their board, or what, but this was an exceptionally bad pick. Ward was, at best, a round 4 prospect in this year's draft, but the Browns select him with the 38th overall pick. No wonder they're drafting towards the beginning of every round nearly every year.
GRADE: D+

2/39: TB-Arrelious Benn-WR-Illinois: Benn is a dynamic athlete who thrives making big runs when the ball is in his hands. Unfortunately though, Benn had a hard time getting the ball in his hands last year, as he dropped a ton of passes. Some of that may have been caused by his shoddy (at best) QB play last season that could not throw a spiral, or accurate pass. Great value pick by the Bucs here.
GRADE: B+

2/40: MIA-Koa Misi-OLB-Utah: Misi has the size and athletic ability to be a productive Rush LB for the Dolphins, while not being terrible in coverage. Somewhat of a project though, as he'll need to learn coverages and how to play with his hand off of the ground after playing with his hand on the ground at Utah.
GRADE: B

2/41: BUF-Terrell Troupe-NT-UCF: Does the pick fill a need? Yes, the Bills simply had nothing to plug in at NT in their first year as a 3-4 team. However, I would probably have selected Terrence Cody or Cam Thomas here instead. Still, fills a need and gives them a probable starter this year.
GRADE: B-

2/42: NE-Rob Gronkowski-TE-Arizona: Had Gronkowski played this year, he more than likely would have been a 1st round pick. There are/were some worries about his back, but everything I've heard says he is medically cleared now. He is an exceptional blocker in the run game, and is athletic enough to make catches all over the field. The Pats get themselves a potentially huge steal in round 2, much to the delight of Tom Brady.
GRADE: A-

2/43: BAL-Sergio Kindle-OLB-Texas: Kindle's play dropped off a bit after his dominating junior year, although there is a perfectly good explanation for this. All through high school, and until his senior year, Kindle played some semblance of linebacker. His junior year, when he recorded double digit sacks, he played predominately as a Rush LB, a position similar to what he will play in the NFL, while his senior year, he played with his hand on the ground mainly as a DE. Baltimore gets the steal of the 2nd round.
GRADE: A+

2/44: OAK-LaMarr Houston-DE/DT-Texas: This pick befuddles me a bit, as Houston is fits better as a 4-3 DT fit than a 3-4 DE, in my opinion. In their first two picks, the Raiders selected one player, depending on the scheme they choose, that will not be as productive as possible due to playing in the wrong scheme. I do love Houston as a player, and think he could be very disruptive as an interior pass rusher.
GRADE: B

2/45: DEN-Zane Beadles-OT-Utah: After the Senior Bowl, I knocked Beadles down into the 4th round range, so picking him here is definitely a reach. That said, he does fill a big need on the Denver offensive line, so they get some marks for that.
GRADE: C

2/46: NYG-Linval Joseph-DT-ECU: The Giants address their defensive line, again, this time going for a big run stuffer. I think Joseph would be more effective in a 3-4 scheme, but he'll be okay here. Unfortunately for the Giants, who want to win now, he probably won't contribute for a year or two, as he is still somewhat raw, but there is potential aplenty.
GRADE: B-

2/47: ARI-Darryl Washington-ILB-TCU: I am very high on Darryl Washington. He may be able to step in right away and help fill the void created when Karlos Dansby left for Miami. Predicion-in three years, Washington will lead the league in tackles, and be considered one of the 3 best ILB in football.
GRADE: A-

2/48: CAR-Jimmy Clausen-QB-ND: I'm not sold on Jimmy Clausen, at all. Sure, he came out of a Pro Style offense at Notre Dame, put up good numbers, and has solid mechanics, but his arm strength is very overrated, he stares down receivers (and wasn't able to fix that in 3 years with one of the best offensive minds in the world in Charlie Weis), and is not the leader you want in a QB. Additionally, I don't like this pick because I felt Matt Moore was the perfect QB for the Panthers, a smart game manager who won't lose you the game who was on the verge of becoming a top 8 quarterback in the NFL.
GRADE: C

2/49: SF-Taylor Mays-S-USC: Mays lost a ton of money this year, when his lack of ability in coverage was exposed. Still, get him here is an incredible value for San Francisco. Mays definitely fits the physical nature that Coach Singletary prefers in his players. Could eventually have to move to linebacker if he doesn't improve in coverage.
GRADE: B+

2/50: KC-Javier Arenas-CB-Alabama: A solid corner prospect who should develop into a very good #2 in the league. Also is a capable return man, but with the selection of Dexter McCluster 14 picks earlier, he may be delegated to only taking punt returns instead of both kickoffs and punts.
GRADE: B

2/51: MIN-Toby Gerhart-RB-Stanford: I hate playing the race card, but I truly believe that if Toby was not a white man, he would have been a first round pick. He is a bruising runner with solid speed (ran in the 4.5's at the combine), has outstanding vision, and is a capable, underrated receiver out of the backfield. That being said, the Vikings probably could have used a quicker back to change the pace from AP's bruising style. (Maybe they have big plans for Harvin out of the backfield??)
GRADE: B

2/52: PIT-Jason Worilds-OLB-VT: A pretty good athlete, but wasn't terribly productive as a pass rusher last year (only 4 sacks). He has the tools to be another great Steeler rush LB though.
GRADE: B-

2/53: NE-Jermaine Cunningham-OLB-Florida: A promising rush LB prospect. Cunningham has the motor, and nonstop, never quit attitude that you covet in a pass rusher (this is why he was selected before his more-talented college teammate Carlos Dunlap). Still has an uphill battle to be successful though, since he'll be moving from a 3 point to a 2 point stance.
GRADE: B

2/54: CIN-Carlos Dunlap-DE-Florida: Will step into the NFL and automatically be one of the most physically talented prospects in the league. Unfortunately for both Dunlap and the Bengals, there is more to a player than just natural ability. If Dunlap had any sort of motor, he would be a lock for double digit sacks every year of his career. I think falling into the 2nd round will be a wake up call for him and he will finally play up to his potential. (Until his first big payday)
GRADE: B+

2/55: DAL-Sean Lee-ILB-Penn State: Typical Penn State linebacker, Lee is gritty as can be. Could push for playing time this year, and will probably be starting (barring injury-big concern) by year two.
GRADE: B

2/56: GB- Mike Neal-DE-Purdue: Is very athletic (runs a 4.86 and 294 pounds) but was way overdrafted in my opinion as I had him as a round 4 prospect. Still, if he can combine his athleticism with some consistent play, he could be a very good end.
GRADE: C

2/57: BAL- Terrence Cody-NT: At the start of the draft season, I was extremely weary of the work ethic of the 370 "Mount" Cody. Over the next couple of months, I saw some very good things out of him, as he cut over 20 pounds in a short period of time. He will be a dominant run stuffer in the league for as long as he wants to stay in shape.
GRADE: B+

2/58: HOU- Ben Tate-RB-Auburn: Tate is a very good fit for the Texans' zone blocking scheme, as he is definitely a "one cut n' go" type runner.
GRADE: B

2/59: CLE- Montario Hardesty-RB-TENN: I really like Hardesty as a runner, but I also like two of the backs already on Cleveland's roster: Jerome Harrison and James Davis. I have a hard time seeing Hardesty getting much burn, or being much better if he gets carries, with the other runners on the team. Pick should have been used elsewhere.
GRADE: C-

2/60: SEA- Golden Tate-WR-ND: Projected by some to go as high as the late 20's overall, the Seahawks AGAIN make another great selection. A big-time dynamic playmaker that can line up almost anywhere (out wide, slot, as a back, WildCat QB) will really open up the Seahawks offense, and he fills a big need with the loss of Nate Burleson.
GRADE: A

2/61: NYJ- Vladimir Ducasse-OG/OT-UMass: Ducasse has the potential to be one of the best interior linemen in football. However, he is very raw, so hopefully the Jets don't throw him to the wolves right away in the wake of the Alan Faneca release.
GRADE: B+

2/62: NE-Brandon Spikes-ILB-Florida: Spikes ran painfully slow at his Pro Day (5.00+ in the 40) but still can be an extremely effective in-the-box linebacker. He won't make many plays going sideline to sideline, but will be a good fit as a 2 down linebacker in New England's 3-4.
GRADE: B

2/63: IND-Pat Angerer-MLB-Iowa: I had him going in the late 3rd round, so this isn't a terrible reach. Still though, I would have liked it if the Colts selected someone like Charles Brown or even Bruce Campbell here instead to give Manning blindside protection.
GRADE: B-

2/64: NO-Charles Brown-OT-USC: Reportedly fell due to injury concerns. The Saints get a steal here if Brown can stay healthy, as they could eventually replace Jammal Brown with Charles Brown on the blindside.
GRADE: B+

Monday, April 26, 2010

Pick by Pick Analysis and Grades-Round 1

Round 1 Round 2 Round 3 Round 4 Round 5 Round 6 Round 7

I know the Draft is already a few days old, so I am a little late with these grades, but I wanted to be able to step back for a few days, do a little additional research, and get the initial reaction emotion out of my system before I provided my analysis.

That being said, here is Round One...

Round 1/Pick 1: STL-Sam Bradford-QB-OU: The only pick the Rams could have made. They have been floundering for years, with bad FA signings, draft busts, poor coaching, poor play, and severe money losses. The team needed some semblance of hope, and are lucky they got a potential franchise signal caller.
GRADE: A

1/2: DET-Ndamukong Suh-DT-Nebraksa: The best defensive tackle prospect to come along in probably a dozen years. Suh is a rare player who is able to be a game-changer from the defensive tackle spot, a luxury only a few teams in the last decade have had. The Lions could have used an O-lineman to protect Matthew Stafford's blindside, but they choose once-a-decade talent over need here.
GRADE: A-

1/3: TB-Gerald McCoy-DT-OU: Possibly the second best defensive tackle prospect, behind Suh, in the last decade, McCoy uses a rare blend of quickness and technique to harass the opposing offense. McCoy is a little smaller/weaker than Suh, and therefore is less effective against the run, but is more effective rushing the passer. In addition to being a great prospect, McCoy is an ideal fit for the Bucs defense as a 3 technique.
GRADE: A

1/4: WAS-Trent Williams-OT-OU: Not a huge fan of this pick. Williams is a very athletic player, but he struggled for most of the year as a LT. If he fails there, he will excel as a RT, but you simply don't spend a top 5 pick on a RT because of positional value. He will be more effective than Russell Okung in the Redskins running game, but Donovan McNabb will need to be extra aware of the blindside rush with Williams on the left side.
GRADE: C+

1/5: KC-Eric Berry-S/CB-TENN: Best safety prospect since at least the late Sean Taylor, Berry is able to do it all. He is excellent in run support, can blitz, and is absolutely amazing in coverage. Able to lock up a TE or slot receiver in Man-to-Man, and force the QB to look to the other side of the field while playing zone. Regardless, the 5th pick is a bit high for a safety.
GRADE: B

1/6: SEA-Russell Okung-OT-OKST: My number 1 Left Tackle in the draft. Eliminates opposing DEs in pass protection, hardly even letting them sniff the QB. Not a dominant run blocker, but is more than good enough in that department.
GRADE: A+

1/7: CLE-Joe Haden-CB-Florida: His terrible combine dropped his stock, but when word came out that it was due to a stiff back, every one gave him a pass. Has the potential to be an absolute lockdown corner at the next level who can shut down an entire half of the field. Also is willing and able in run support.
GRADE: B+

1/8: OAK-Rolando McClain-ILB-ALA: Surprising pick, as Al Davis deviated from his love of measurables and 40 times for an actual solid football player. If the Raiders switch to a 3-4, McClain will be an All-Pro, if not, he will still be effective, just not nearly as good. Even though he may be great, Oakland's grade for this pick gets docked a few notches due to the relative lack of value inside linebackers have in the draft. (No ILB prospect had been picked in the top 10 since Brian Urlacher).
GRADE: B-

1/9: BUF-CJ Spiller-RB-CLEM: CJ Spiller could be an 2000 all-purpose yard back in a year or two, but when you have as many holes to fill as the Bills do, you can't afford the luxury of taking a back who will split carries for you early on. They could/should have gone in any number of different directions (O-line, QB, NT, Rush LB, trade down for more picks, etc), but chose a luxury.
GRADE: C+

1/10: JAX-Tyson Alualu-DT-CAL: Baffling pick to say the least. I had at least 3 other non Nose Tackle DTs on my board ahead of Alualu. The Jags could have trade down 20 to 30 picks and still been basically assured of getting him. Even if Alualu turns out to be a Hall of Famer, this will still be a bad pick, as they could have gotten him so much later, and gotten additional picks out of it.
GRADE: F

1/11: SF-Anthony Davis-OT/OG-Rutgers: They probably didn't have to trade up to get him, and I'm not convinced Davis will ever be in good enough shape to ever man the left side effectively, and possibly not even the right. His home could eventually be at either of the guard spots. However, if coach Singletary is able to get Davis' head on straight, the 49ers may have a dominant tackle for the next 10 to 12 years.
GRADE: C-

1/12: SD-Ryan Matthews-RB-Fresno St: Matthews was one of the best backs in the nation last year, statistically, but I'm not convinced he's a true NFL #1 back. He doesn't hit the hole as hard as you would like, and doesn't always pick the right one when he finally decides which one he wants to go to. I'm not sure why the Chargers jumped up this far to get him either, as the only team I could see picking Matthews before their original pick would be the Texans (20th). GRADE: D-

1/13: PHI-Brandon Graham-DE-MICH: I love Graham's motor, but I don't think he will be very successful in the NFL. He lacks height, has very short arms, and isn't as explosive as everyone makes him out to be. Graham probably wouldn't have made it past Atlanta had the Eagles not traded up, but they could have just grabbed Jerry Hughes instead, who I feel is a much stronger pass rushing prospect, without moving up.
GRADE: C

1/14: SEA-Earl Thomas-S/CB-TEXAS: Another outstanding pick by Seattle. They're atrocious secondary gets a serious upgrade with the ball-hawking Earl Thomas. Thomas is a great all-around safety who is able to change the game on any play.
GRADE: A

1/15: NYG-Jason Pierre-Paul-DE-USF: I'll admit it, I HATE JPP as a first round pick. He is an all-upside pick that has an extremely high chance of busting. He only played D1 football for one season, and was only mildly productive that season, registering only 6.5 sacks. JPP wasn't even the most feared DE on his own team last season, as George Selvie, a 7th round pick by the Rams, was the one getting most of the double teams. Is he a freak athlete? Of course, but how many freakish athletes with limited football skills have busted? Plenty. And the list is about to grow a player longer.
GRADE: D

1/16: TEN-Derrick Morgan-DE-GT: This is the pick the Giants should have made. The number 1 DE prospect this year, Derrick Morgan has prototypical size (6'4" 275) and speed (4.70) for the position, and was the most game-planned against DE in college football last year. Despite the constant attention and double teams, he still managed to record 12 sacks.
GRADE: A+

1/17: SF-Mike Iupati-OG-Idaho: Some viewed this pick as overkill on one area for the 49ers, but they needed some serious help on the line. Iupati should be able to step in right away at either of the guard spots and form an intimidating line with Joe Stalely at LT and Anthony Davis (if he pans out) at RT. Frank Gore had to be thrilled when Iupati's name was called, as he'll get some huge holes to run through now.
GRADE: B+

1/18: PIT-Maurkice Pouncey-OG/C-Florida: Pouncey will step in right away at one of the guard spots, and will help greatly in both pass-protection and run blocking, before eventually moving over to center.
GRADE: B

1/19: ATL-Sean Weatherspoon-LB-Mizzou: A very versatile linebacker who can play inside and outside and is effective against both the run and the pass. Weatherspoon should be able to step in right away, and could get upwards of 100 tackles this season.
GRADE: A-

1/20: HOU-Kareem Jackson-CB-ALA: Not a fan of this selection. Kareem Jackson isn't even my favorite corner prospect from his own school (Javier Arenas). While he does have a good skillset, I don't think Jackson will ever be more than a #2 corner, and will probably be a nickel corner for most of his career.
GRADE: C-

1/21: CIN-Jermaine Gresham-TE-OU: The Bengals have hardly ever used their TE in the passing game, but that probably has more to do with personnel than it does scheme. Gresham isn't an elite blocker, so he may be replaced on running downs, but there is no denying this young man's talent as a pass catcher. If he manages to stay healthy, which has been a concern throughout his career, he can be a top 2 TE in the NFL.
GRADE: A-

1/22: DEN-Demaryius Thomas-WR-GT: A physically imposing player at WR (6'3" 226), Demaryius could potentially be a #1 target in the NFL. He lacks skill as a route runner, but once the ball is in his hands, he is tough to bring down. Very raw, and lacks experience in a pro style system (came from GT's triple option offense).
GRADE: B-

1/23: GB-Bryan Buluga-OT-Iowa: Fell mightily on draft day, as many predicted he would be snatched up at #5 by the Chiefs. Buluga is a very skilled player that has above average ability as both a run and pass blocker.
GRADE: A+

1/24: DAL-Dez Bryant-WR-OKST: Steal of the first round. Bryant has the talent be a top 5 WR in the NFL in a few years, as he has great hands, run after the catch ability, and a very good work ethic. He has some "character concerns", but I think they are greatly overblown. The Cowboys just got the player they thought they were getting when they traded a 1st and 3rd to Detroit for Roy Williams.
GRADE: A+

1/25: DEN-Tim Tebow-QB-Florida: The steal of the first round is quickly followed up by the reach of the first round. Nothing about Tebow translates to the NFL as a QB. He has a strong-ish arm on tape, but if he ever successfully fixes his throwing motion, he'll lose a lot of that strength and be below average in that category (usually a wind-up delivery is used to compensate for a lack of arm strength, as it gives your arm more momentum. Good for pitchers, bad for QBs). His accuracy is HORRIFIC, yes I know he completed better than 65% of his passes at Florida, but 90% of his throws were less than 10 yards down the field with no defenders within 5 yards of him. In the Senior Bowl, when defenders were actually closing in on him, he through some of the worst passes I have ever seen in my life, including a pass that bounced twice on its way to a receiver only 15 yards down the field. His mechanics are incredibly screwed up. Yes, I've seen the thousands of ESPN segments on his renewed throwing motion at his Pro Day, but it is easy to throw with near perfect form when you have no defenders on you and get to focus on a single target all day. Tebow will have to undue the muscle memory of 20+ years of terrible mechanics on his way to not throwing like an idiot anymore, which simply can't happen. When a 300 pounder is breathing down his neck, Tebow will revert to his old ways and windup. I seriously could go on all day about why Tebow will fail as a pro QB, but I'll stop here for now. He will make a terrific H-Back though in 5 years.
GRADE: F-

1/26: ARI-Dan Williams-NT-TENN: Aside from the playoffs, Arizona's defense was actually pretty solid last year, but one of the key ingredients they were missing was a dominant NT. They solve that need here by selecting a player that could have gone as high as #9 in the draft in Dan Williams.
GRADE: A

1/27: NE-Devin McCourty-CB-Rutgers: A solid pick, although I would have preferred Kyle Wilson here. I don't think McCourty will ever be a shutdown corner, but you won't be screwed if he is your #1 corner.
GRADE: B

1/28: MIA-Jared Odrick-DE-Penn State: A very talented player who fits the 3-4 end position perfectly. Odrick could become one of the best 5 techniques in the league in a year or two.
GRADE:A-

1/29: NYJ-Kyle Wilson-CB-Boise State: At first I was a little perplexed by this pick, but it makes a lot more sense now. With Kyle Wilson, Darrell Revis, Antonio Cromartie, and UDFA Donovan Warren-who I thought could have been a 2nd round pick-and some solid safeties, the Jets will be able to blitz whoever, whenever and not worry about getting burnt with their stable of exceptional DBs.

1/30: DET-Jahvid Best-RB-CAL: My second favorite runningback in the class behind CJ Spiller. I don't think the Lions really needed to trade up to get him though. Regardless, Detroit needed another back since Kevin Smith hasn't quite lived up to the hype, and had a nasty ACL injury last season. Jahvid Best has the ability to take it to the house on any given down, and should be a huge asset in both the running and passing games.

1/31: IND-Jerry Hughes-DE-TCU: Bill Polian does it again, selecting another phenomenal player at the tail end of the first round. Hughes should be the next great pass rusher for the Colts, and eventually could be a double digit sack player in the league. The only reason this pick isn't an A or A+ is because I felt the Colts should have addressed their LT spot here instead.
GRADE: B+

1/32: NO-Patrick Robinson-CB-FSU: A very gifted corner, Robinson has the ability to shut anyone down at any time. The only problem with him is consistency. If he can avoid the mental lapses that occasionally plagued him in college, the Saints will have a steal here. That being said, if he doesn't fix his problems, he could also be a pretty big bust.
GRADE: B-

I will be back with my Round 2 analysis tomorrow

Sunday, April 25, 2010

I'm back!

Good evening/afternoon/morning one and all! It has been quite a layoff since my last post on here, almost a full year, and barring injury, I should be back for good.

Over the next few days, I will be taking you all through the ins and outs of the most important day(s) in the NFL season, the Draft, giving you insight and hopefully opening your eyes to a few things you were unaware of about the draft process, players, picks, and so on.

Again, it is great to be back everyone, and I can't wait to get (re)started on all things NFL!

Wednesday, April 29, 2009

Draft Steals, Part 1

As it always is in the NFL Draft, some teams did awful (Raiders), some teams did average (Chiefs), and a small handful of teams made away like bandits (Bears).
Lets recap the teams who grabbed the biggest steals of this draft.

San Francisco 49ers: Michael Crabtree-WR (1/10)
  • The most talented player in the draft slipped past 6 teams who could have really used a star wide out. Did teams not learn their lesson when this happened with Adrian Peterson?
Arizona Cardinals: Chris "Beanie" Wells-RB (1/31)
  • Getting the most dominating and skilled running back in the draft with the 31st pick? I don't think I need to explain why this constitutes "steal".
Cincinnati Bengals: Rey Maualuga-LB (2/38)
  • At the beginning of the season, he was a projected top 10 pick. He played as good or better than the other 2 USC linebackers, no charecter concerns really. Just another case of teams over analyzing a player. 31 NFL teams will regret this.
Carolina Panthers: Everette Brown-DE (2/43)
  • He had been projected to go in the top 5 before the combine, did well there but dropped. Projected in the top 10 before his Pro Day, did great there but once again dropped. Projected in the top 20 before the Draft but dropped all the way to half way through the 2nd round. Makes sense right?
Cincinnati Bengals: Michael Johnson-DE (3/70)
  • Any time you can get a top 5 talent, regardless of work ethic or motor, at the 70th pick, you know you just did something good.
New York Giants: Andre Brown-RB (4/129)
  • Had he had one less injury at NC State, you would be looking at a top 25 pick. The Giants will use this young man to replace the departed Derrick Ward and will hardly even notice he's gone.
Carolina Panthers: Duke Robinson-OG (5/163)
  • An absolute beast on the O-line. Took some plays off last year but now that he's playing for a contract and with a chip on his shoulders, he'll go back to looking like the projected mid-first rounder he was before the 08-09 season.
Thats all for now, don't want to make these too long. I'll be back tomorrow with part 2 of the NFL Draft thievery

Monday, April 20, 2009

NFL Mock Draft 2009-Round 2 (4/20/09)

The (projected) second round of the 2009 NFL Draft...


  • Detroit Lions: James Laurinaitis-LB, Ohio State
  • New England Patriots: Connor Barwin-OLB/DE, Cincinnati
  • St. Louis Rams: Hakeem Nicks-WR, North Carolina
  • Cleveland Browns: Clint Sintim-OLB, Virginia
  • Seattle Seahawks: Donald Brown-RB, UCONN
  • Cincinnati Bengals: Max Unger-C, Oregon
  • Jacksonville Jaguars: Darius Butler-CB, UCONN
  • Oakland Raiders: William Beatty-OT, UCONN
  • Green Bay Packers: Louis Delmas-FS, Western Michigan
  • Buffalo Bills: Jared Cook-TE, South Carolina
  • San Francisco 49ers: DJ Moore-CB, Vanderbilt
  • Miami Dolphins: Ron Brace-DT, Boston College
  • New York Giants: Fili Moala-DT, USC
  • Houston Texans: Sean Smith-CB/FS, Utah
  • New England Patriots: Jarron Gilbert-DE/DT, San Jose State
  • Denver Broncos: Patrick Chung-S, Oregon
  • Chicago Bears: Brian Robiskie-WR, Ohio State
  • Cleveland Browns: LeSean McCoy-RB, Pittsburgh
  • Dallas Cowboys: Duke Robinson-OG, Oklahoma
  • New York Jets: Shonn Greene-RB, Iowa
  • Philadelphia Eagles: Shawn Nelson-TE, Southern Mississippi
  • Minnesota Vikings: Phil Loadholt-OT, Oklahoma
  • Atlanta Falcons: William Moore-S, Missouri
  • Miami Dolphins: Larry English-DE/OLB, Northern Illinois
  • Baltimore Ravens: Lawrence Sidbury-DE/OLB, Richmond
  • New England Patriots: Jamon Meredith-OT, South Carolina
  • Carolina Panthers: Sen'Derrick Marks-DT, Auburn
  • New York Giants: Tyrone McKenzie-OLB, South Florida
  • Indianapolis Colts: Derrick Williams-WR, Penn State
  • Tennessee Titans: Alphonso Smtih-CB, Wake Forest
  • Arizona Cardinals: Paul Krugar-DE/OLB, Utah
  • Pittsburgh Steelers: Andy Levitre-OG, Oregon State

Stay tuned for round 3 tomorrow!

Sunday, April 19, 2009

NFL Mock Draft 2009-Round 1 (4/19/09)

After researching team needs and rosters a little deeper over the past couple of days, I've changed around some of the picks. The draft as I see it...
  1. Detroit Lions: Matthew Stafford-QB, Georgia
  2. St. Louis Rams: Jason Smith-LT, Baylor
  3. Kansas City Chiefs: Aaron Curry-OLB, Wake Forest
  4. Seattle Seahawks: Eugene Monroe-LT, Virginia
  5. Cleveland Browns: Brian Orakpo-DE/OLB, Texas
  6. Cincinnati Bengals: Andre Smith-T, Alabama
  7. Oakland Raiders: Michael Crabtree-WR, Texas Tech
  8. Jacksonville Jaguars: Mark Sanchez-QB, USC
  9. Green Bay Packers: BJ Raji-DT, Boston College
  10. San Fransisco 49ers: Jeremy Maclin-WR, Missouri
  11. Buffalo Bills: Michael Oher-LT, Ole Miss
  12. Denver Broncos: Tyson Jackson-DE/DT, LSU
  13. Washington Redskins:Aaron Maybin-DE, Penn State
  14. New Orleans Saints: Malcolm Jenkins-FS/CB, Ohio State
  15. Houston Texans: Brian Cushing-LB, USC
  16. San Diego Chargers: Rey Maualuga-ILB, USC
  17. New York Jets: Josh Freeman-QB, Kansas State
  18. Denver Broncos: Everette Brown-DE/OLB-Florida State
  19. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Peria Jerry-DT, Ole Miss
  20. Detroit Lions: Robert Ayers-DE, Tennessee
  21. Philadelphia Eagles: Chris "Beanie" Wells-RB, Ohio State
  22. Minnesota Vikings: Eben Britton-LT, Arizona
  23. New England Patriots: Clay Matthews-OLB, USC
  24. Atlanta Falcons: Michael Johnson-DE, Georgia Tech
  25. Miami Dolphins: Vontae Davis-CB, Illinois
  26. Baltimore Ravens: Darius Heyward-Bey-WR, Maryland
  27. Indianapolis Colts: Evander "Ziggy" Hood-DT, Missouri
  28. Buffalo Bills: Brandon Pettigrew-TE, Oklahoma State
  29. New York Giants: Kenny Britt-WR, Rutgers
  30. Tennessee Titans: Percy Harvin-WR, Florida
  31. Arizona Cardinals: Knowshon Moreno-RB, Georgia
  32. Pittsburgh Steelers: Alex Mack-C, Cal

Saturday, April 18, 2009

NFL Draft-Broncos

And the award for the team with the biggest offseason drama goes to....the Denver Broncos for their role in the Jay Cutler crisis. The fact that Jay wanted a trade and got so upset just for being thrown around in trade talks is pretty ridiculous if you ask me-all though the Broncos did get a pretty good haul in return for him-netting QB Kyle Orton, 2 first round picks (18th in 2009, and the Bears #1 in 2010), along with the 84th pick in this draft in exchange for the unhappy Cutler and a 6th round pick.

This trade doesn't hurt the Bronco's offense as much as you may think. Kyle Orton thrived in this same style offense in college, has two dynamic playmakers to throw to in Eddie Royal and Brandon Marshall, they have a nice stable of runningbacks, and they have a slightly above average O-line. The big worry, is on defense. They were one of the worst teams statistically on that side of the ball, letting opponents run all over them and their weak 4-3 D. So now, they move to the 3-4 with hopes that they will be able to stop somebody at least occasionally.

In addition to the trade for Kyle Orton, the Broncos have been the busiest team in the Free Agent market, signing 12 new players so far including QB Chris Simms, RBs LaMont Jordan, JJ Arrington, and Correll Buckhalter, LB Andra Davis, and Saftey Brian Dawkins. They also let several players go to find new teams, but most of them were defensive players who don't fit their new scheme.

So onto the Draft now, with the 12th overall pick the Broncos could go a few different ways. Tyson Jackson, a run-stuffing DE from LSU, could be the pick and be an essential part of their new defenese, Everette Brown could be the dominate pass-rushing OLB for the scheme, or they could build for the future and select USC's 1 year wonder Mark Sanchez at QB.

With their second 1st round pick (18th) I think the Broncos will draft a player who can help in them defend their opponents passing game. A physical freak of a cornerback, Vontae Davis, could be available to them at this pick.

Their remaining picks (2/48, 3/79, 3/84, 4/114, 5/149, 6/185, 7/225, and 7/235), expect possibly 6 or so of the picks to be used on the defensive side of the ball. Boston College's Ron Brace, Georgia's Corey Irvin, and Utah's Sean Smith are all possibilties in the 2 to 3rd round range.

THE PICK(s): 1/12: Mark Sanchez-QB, USC and 1/18: Vontae Davis-CB, Illinois

*The Broncos could trade up to the 8th pick to select Mark Sanchez if he is still available

Friday, April 17, 2009

NFL Draft-Bills (Update)

Now that the Bills have trade LT Jason Peters for the Eagles second 1st round pick (28th) and 4th round pick (), plus their 2010 6th rounder, their draft board changes.

Now in the 1st round at pick 11, I have them picking Brandon Pettigrew and at pick 28 the pick is Clay Matthews of USC.

Thursday, April 16, 2009

NFL Draft-Bills

The Bills started out last season on fire, getting of to a 5-1 start, but they fizzled down the stretch, winning only 2 of their final 10 games and finishing with a disappointing 7-9 record. A lot of this, in my opinion, is the coaching. It doesn't matter who you play, to win 5 of 6 is impressive and it requires talent, so what do you think happened? Sure, some of it falls on the players and how they performed, but a top tier coach is someone who can get everyone to play at their best no matter the score and no matter the record and I just don't think Dick Jauron is that guy.

The Bills have had a pretty average offseason, they added some good depth with players like Drayton Florence and Geoff Hangartner, along with the signing of Terrell Owens-which is exactly what Trent Edwards and Lee Evans needed (He really isn't that bad of a charecter anymore, ESPN needs stories so anytime he breathes its news), but they kind of balanced that out with the releasings and non-resignings of a few players like Angelo Crowell, Derrick Dockery, and Robert Royal. Also of note, star LT Jason Peters is very unhappy with his contract situation and as unhappy as they would be about doing so, they may have to eventually trade him.

In the 1st round (pick 11), the Bills will probably go for one of these two positions: Tight End or Defensive End. The 11th overall pick may be a bit too high for the top TE in this class, Brandon Pettigrew, but I wouldn't knock the pick if it happens. He's a very good, reliable pass catcher-although he won't absolutely break a game open-and he is an absolutely dominating blocker from the TE spot. If they select him here, they could groom him into being their LT of the future maybe. When it comes down to it though, I think DE is the choice as 3 or 4 very solid pass rushers will be available at this pick (Robert Ayers, Everette Brown, Michael Johnson, and maybe Aaron Maybin) and the Bills need all the help getting to the QB they can get.

In the second round (pick 42) the Bills will definitely pick Brandon Pettigrew if he somehow falls to them, but if he doesn't, the possible positions that will be addressed are O-line and OLB. Possible picks would be Max Unger, the C/G player from Oregon, or OLB Clint Sintim from Virginia.

With their remaining picks (3/75, 4/110, 5/147, 6/183, and 7/220) look for the Bills to add at lease 1, but possibly 2 or 3 offensive lineman, a pass rusher, a TE maybe, and some defensive back help.

THE PICK: Robert Ayers-DE, Tennessee

Wednesday, April 15, 2009

NFL Draft-49ers

If only, if only. That's what many 49ers' fans are thinking after their dreadful 2005 and 2006 drafts. In the 1st round of the '05 draft, they selected QB Alex Smith over Aaron Rogers who fell to Green Bay and just threw for just over 4,000 yards last year (as opposed to Alex Smith's zero, zip, and nada). In the 2nd and 3rd rounds they did well, selecting David Baas and Frank Gore, but other than that, there are no impact players or even back up material players really.
Then in '06, they selected workout wonder Vernon Davis, a TE out of Maryland over such players as; Donte Whitner, Ernie Sims, Haloti Ngata, Kameron Wimbley, and Antonio Cromartie, then selected OLB/DE Manny Lawson with the 22nd pick ahead of players like Davin Joseph, Santonio Holmes, Nick Mangold, Mathias Kiwanuka, and DeMeco Ryans. If you add up the total number of players they drafted that are worth a crap in that draft, you would come out with a big, fat, goose egg. (They did right the ship a bit in '07 with the drafting of a star MLB in Patrick Willis and a great Tackle in Joe Staley)

The Niners current roster isn't anything to oogle after-although I think they have some under the radar players like QB Shaun Hill-and while they've added a handful of free agents, none of them are expected to really help. The 49ers, like many teams, are putting their eggs in the "build through the draft" boat apparantly, and will need a little bit of their 2007 magic for that to work.

With the 10th pick, the 49ers could go a number of ways-QB, DT, DE, WR, Tackle, OLB, or safety-so there's no telling what they will do. Me personally, I think they will try to upgrade their defense instead of going with the sexy Mark Sanchez pick (Coach Singletary loves Shaun Hill) and if they do, I expect it to be a pass rushing OLB. Aaron Maybin, Everette Brown, and Brian Cushing are all possibilities.

In the second round (pick 43) I think the Niners will go for a safety, provided Western Michigan's Louis Delmas is still there. If he isn't, DJ Moore, Marcus Freeman, or maybe even an inside linebacker are possibilities.

With their remaining picks (3/74, 4/111, 5/146, 5/171, 6/184, 7/219, and 7/244), San Francisco will probably target their RT position, find a run-stuffing DE, try to get younger at their LB spots, and maybe find a speedy backup running back for Frank Gore like Glenn Coffee or Antoine Smith

THE PICK: Aaron Maybin-DE, Penn State

NFL Draft-Packers

The Packers are currently in the middle of completely reconfiguring their defense. They are switching from a team that was suited very well for the 4-3, but now they are a member of the 3-4 club. They are pretty much set on offense, except they could maybe use another runningback and a little extra depth at the Tackle spots. On defense though, they need some of everything, Nose tackle, run-stuffing DE's, another pass rushing OLB, and they have 2 ILBs who have no business being in a 3-4 (although they are great in the 4-3).

Surprisingly though, thusfar in free agency the Pack haven't added a single player on the defensive side of the ball and let 330 pound DE/DT Collin Cole sign with the Seahawks.
Some players I see the Packers taking a run at before the free agency period is over are, some older Defensive Ends: Kevin Carter, Vonnie Holliday, and Orpheus Roye (they don't have a lot left, but they can still hold blockers and stop the run better than their other ends) and some young players like Antwan Lake and Dwan Edwards
Nose Tackles: Ryan Sims
Outside Linebackers: Jason Taylor (he worked some as a 3-4 LB when in Miami), Roderick Green, Antwaan Peek, and Carlos Polk.
Now, as you are probably well aware, none of these players are really impact players anymore, but in a 3-4 system, I think they could so a servicable job-which is all the Packers can really hope for.

In the draft, with the 9th overall pick, I would be absolutely shocked if the pick was for anything except for their front 7. They could go with a DE/OLB like Everette Brown, Aaron Maybin, or Brian Orakpo if he falls, but my money is on NT BJ Raji.

With their 2nd round choice (pick 41), look for the Packers to try and find a NT, OLB, or DE. If they can't land Raji at the 9th overall spot, BC's other DT Ron Brace is a solid option, as is OLB Connor Barwin, Larry English, Marcus Freeman, and DE Fili Moala.

The remainder of their picks (3/73, 3/83, 4/109, 5/145, 6/182, 6/187, and 7/218) could very well all be spent on defensive players, although that is highly unlikely. I except them to use 5 of their 7 remaining picks on defense (1 of which will be used on the cornerback position), with the other 2 picks being a RB and a very versatile lineman who can play at least 3 of the O-line spots.

THE PICK: BJ Raji-NT,BC

Tuesday, April 14, 2009

NFL Draft-Jaguars

The Jacksonville Jaguars surprised many people last year...just not in the way they would have liked. A lot of the experts were saying that Jacksonville could even be a dark horse superbowl team, instead they finished with a very disappointing 5-11 record. You could attribute their poor record to either the tragedy that struck them just before the season (Richard Collier getting shot 9 times and having a leg amputated, thus ending his playing career), injuries all along the O-Line, their rookies not contributing (Derrick harvey and Quentin Groves combined for 6 sacks), or spotty QB play. Whatever it was, the Jags hope it gets turned around, and fast.

I think that they aren't far off. They have lost a great lockerroom guy in Fred Taylor, they couldn't afford to keep a guy who has sharply declined 5 million a year, but they did rid themselves of problematic LB Mike Peterson and the troubled Matt Jones. These moves could be thought of as "rebuilding" moves, but if you look a little closer, thats not the case. They still have one of the best RBs in football in Maurice Jones-Drew who will be complemented by 2 other solid backs in Greg Jones and Chauncey Washington, a good game manager at QB, a good TE and an improving O-Line on offense coupled with some really nice, young talent on their front 7.

In the first round, with the 8th overall pick, I am expecting the Jags to go for a really talented perimeter player (WR or CB) seeing as they already shored up their tackle spot with the signing of Tra Thomas. Vontae Davis would be the only real possibility of a CB at pick #8, but that would be quite a reach for a player who should go around 18th or later, so that leaves one option really-Missouri's Jeremy Maclin. He would provide an instant spark to their return game and they could really expand their playbook with him-although it may take him a year or two to get his route running down.

With their second pick, (39th overall) the Jags could be looking to lock up a good corner. Prospects such as UCONN's Darius Butler, Vandy's DJ Moore, or possibly even Utah's Sean Smith who could also work some at a safety spot-are possible selections.

The remainder of their draft (3/72, 4/107, 5/144, 6/180, 7/232, 7/250, and 7/253) will be focused mainly on depth. Any position save for QB are possibilties seeing how they have almost zero depth throughout their team.

THE PICK: Jeremy Maclin-Missouri, WR

Monday, April 13, 2009

NFL Draft-Raiders

Over the last handful of years, one single individual has put a team in more of a mess than any of us could even think of. His name...is Al Davis, owner of the now sad sight that is the Oakland Raiders. He's gone after ridiculous, no one thinks they will pan out draft picks (Tyler Brayton), signed people that don't even know if they want to play anymore (Javon Walker), drafted purely on a 40 yard dash time (too many to just point out one), and signed players who absolutely don't fit in their scheme (Warren Sapp-top 5 4-3 DT ever, mediocre at best 3-4 DE).

So far this offseason, Weird Al has been moderately silent (for him), apart from his ongoing squabbles with former coach Lane Kiffin and signing CB Nnamdi Asomugha to ridiculous money. They have signed a few mid tier free agents, all 3 happen to play 1 of the Tackle postions, signed a backup QB in Jeff Garcia (that could work out well) and traded for Dolphins C Samson Satele and have lost 2 players to the Dolphins and 1 to the Eagles.

It really doesn't matter though, the Raiders are still hopeless as a franchise until Al Davis decides he won't run the team anymore. This team has no direction-they have the talent of a rebuilding team with an owner that expects to make the Superbowl every year. Its just not going to happen. They do have a pretty solid stable of RBs to build around though in Darren McFadden, Michael Bush, and Justin Fargas with a QB who has really only 1 year under his belt.

With their 1st pick (7th overall) the Raiders will be very tempted to draft a skill position player who runs fast, like Jeremy Maclin, but if the draft goes as I plan and Crabtree is still around, I just can't see them passing him up.

In the 2nd round (pick 40) I'm predicting the Raiders selecting a player who could actually end up being a solid end in the 3-4 or a really good tackle in a 4-3 scheme in Jarron Gilbert, oh and he is an athletic freak so Weird Al will be more than happy to pick him.

With their remaining picks (3/71, 4/126, and 7/216) look for the Raiders to draft the best available non-trench player. Is it smart? Probably not, but thats what has become of the Raiders thanks to this idiot.

THE PICK: Michael Crabtree-WR, Texas Tech

NFL Draft-Bengals

The Bengals haven't drafted especially well in the last 5 years (17 players from those drafts are no longer in the NFL) so its no surprise to see them picking so high. Granted, losing Carson Palmer for most of the year and having him when he was definitely not even close to healthy (elbow) hurt them a ton, dropping their offense from 7th in passing yards, 10th in total yards, and 11th in points to 30th in passing yards and dead last in total yards and points and leaving them to rely on a defense that hasn't been good in a long, long time.

The health of Carson Palmer's throwing elbow is obviously the biggest thing to watch for this upcoming season, but I don't think it will affect the Bengals draft board very much as they will look to upgrade their offensive and defensive lines and the rest of the defensive side of the ball.

Also, will Chad Ocho Cinco be able to return to his old self, will Laveranues Coles be able to effectively replace TJ Houshmandzadeh, and will Cedric Benson be able to be as effective as he was over the last few weeks?

With the 6th overall pick in the draft, I expect the Bengals to go for a LT that can replace the departed Stacey Andrews and the oft-injured Levi Jones. They could also choose to bolster their pass rush by selecting a DE like Brian Orakpo if he's still around or Everette Brown or their run D with BJ Raji, even though he would be much better suited for a 3-4 defense.

In the 2nd round (pick 38), look for them to do the same thing as in the first round, pick either an offensive or defensive lineman. Possible choices are BC's Ron Brace, Georgia Tech's Michael Johnson, or Cal's Alex Mack.

Their remaining 9 picks (3/70, 3/98, 4/106, 5/142, 6/179, 6/209, 7/215, 7/245, 7/252) will be used on at least 1 more offensive or defensive lineman, 2 linebacks, a safety, a QB, a running back, possibly a tight end and and a return man/WR.

THE PICK: Andre Smith-OT, Alabama

Sunday, April 12, 2009

NFL Draft-Browns

I really dont know what to make of the Browns. Are they as good as they were in 2007, are they the team we saw suck it up last year, are they somewhere in between? I personally think that they are somewhere inbetween those two extremes, slightly leaning more towards the 2007 side though. I think that Brady Quinn will be a servicable QB in the league sooner rather than later, Braylon Edwards will figure out that its the wide recievers job to catch the ball, not batt it down, and their defensive will begin to get a stop every now and again.

They've definitely not been productive personal wise, trading Kellen Winslow Jr. for a couple draft picks and haven't done anything else note-worthy. They did, however, hire who I think is one of the best coaches in football in Eric Mangini..although apparently Shaun Rogers wants a trade now because of this. If they do, for some unGodly reason trade him, I don't think it will really shake up their draft board much, but it would really make me question the decision makers in the organization because they would only be adding another hole to an already porous defense.

The top needs for the Browns are; a pass-rushing OLB, a RB, CB, RT, and thanks to Donte Stallworth's intoxicated manslaughter charges, WR.

In the 1st round (5th overall pick) look for the Browns to fill their biggest need-the pass rushing OLB. Choices like Texas' Brian Orakpo and FSU's Everette Brown will both be available and either would be a solid pick. In the end though, I say it is Orakpo.

In the 2nd round, pick 36, look for the Browns to make a play on either a running back with some speed, or a conerback. LeSean McCoy or Darius Butler are possible choices.

With their remaining picks (2/50, 4/104, and 6/177) look for them to select either a RB or CB-whichever wasn't picked with their 1st second round pick, a Right Guard or Right Tackle (or someone who plays both), and a Wide Reciever.

THE PICK: Brian Orakpo-OLB/DE, Texas